Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Basel
27.7%
Draw
48.0%
Thun
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Basel
vs
1.73
Thun
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
7.4%
0-1
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.5%
0-3
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).