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14 Mar 2026 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.2%
Ried
28.9%
Draw
36.0%
WSG Tirol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Ried

vs
1.26

WSG Tirol

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
0-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).