Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.3%
Leverkusen
20.8%
Draw
13.9%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Leverkusen
vs
0.89
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.535.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.8%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).