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DHT: 01CSV

16 Apr 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.2%
Fuenlabrada
27.1%
Draw
37.7%
Sabadell

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Fuenlabrada

vs
1.25

Sabadell

Markets

BTTS49.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
0-1
11.0%
1-0
10.5%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).