Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Sochi
32.2%
Draw
26.5%
Dynamo Makhachkala
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Sochi
vs
0.93
Dynamo Makhachkala
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.2%
1-0
12.6%
0-1
9.2%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).