Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.7%
Cambridge
19.6%
Draw
10.8%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Cambridge
vs
0.58
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
2-0
15.1%
3-0
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).