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AHT: 11CSV

22 Oct 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.7%
Umraniyespor
30.6%
Draw
27.7%
Karagumruk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Umraniyespor

vs
1.26

Karagumruk

Markets

BTTS59.8%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
0-1
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).