Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Valencia
29.1%
Draw
32.5%
Ath Bilbao
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Valencia
vs
1.08
Ath Bilbao
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.539.7%
Over 3.519.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
10.8%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).