Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.6%
Las Palmas
36.2%
Draw
22.2%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Las Palmas
vs
0.57
Alaves
Markets
BTTS25.6%
Over 0.577.1%
Over 1.543.0%
Over 2.518.3%
Over 3.56.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
22.9%
1-0
20.8%
0-1
13.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
5.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
2-2
1.5%
0-3
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).