Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
Wigan
22.3%
Draw
57.1%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Wigan
vs
1.68
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
0-0
6.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).