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26 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.8%
Stockport
25.1%
Draw
38.1%
Lincoln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Stockport

vs
1.24

Lincoln

Markets

BTTS48.9%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.544.5%
Over 3.523.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
11.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.5%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).