Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.2%
Napoli
9.9%
Draw
5.9%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
3.31
Napoli
vs
0.83
Crotone
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.578.2%
Over 3.559.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
8.0%
2-1
7.2%
4-1
6.6%
1-0
5.3%
5-0
5.3%
5-1
4.4%
1-1
4.3%
3-2
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).