Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.1%
Pacos Ferreira
17.0%
Draw
72.9%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Pacos Ferreira
vs
2.18
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.0%
0-1
13.2%
0-3
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
5.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-2
3.0%
2-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).