Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Accrington
26.4%
Draw
36.5%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Accrington
vs
1.21
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).