Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
Wigan
30.6%
Draw
50.4%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Wigan
vs
1.31
Millwall
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.560.7%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.6%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-0
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).