Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Hamburg
30.1%
Draw
28.8%
M'gladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Hamburg
vs
1.02
M'gladbach
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).