Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.5%
Celtic
26.2%
Draw
23.3%
Hearts
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Celtic
vs
1.03
Hearts
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).