Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.6%
Monza
19.6%
Draw
9.8%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Monza
vs
0.72
Crotone
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
1-0
11.1%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
9.4%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.0%
0-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).