Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →5.4%
Sheffield United
11.7%
Draw
82.9%
Chelsea
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Sheffield United
vs
3.23
Chelsea
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.576.8%
Over 3.557.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
9.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.0%
0-4
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
1-4
6.5%
1-1
5.3%
0-5
5.1%
0-1
5.0%
1-5
4.2%
2-3
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).