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AHT: 01CSV

30 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.7%
Dumbarton
26.2%
Draw
46.2%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Dumbarton

vs
1.61

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS56.7%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).