Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.9%
Harrogate
23.6%
Draw
63.5%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Harrogate
vs
1.83
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS43.4%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.7%
0-3
8.1%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
4.7%
0-4
3.7%
2-1
3.6%
2-2
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).