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DHT: 21CSV

10 Dec 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.8%
Eibar
29.2%
Draw
22.0%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Eibar

vs
0.74

Andorra

Markets

BTTS37.2%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.559.1%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.2%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).