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AHT: 01

21 Dec 2024 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.1%
Famalicao
30.0%
Draw
13.9%
Farense

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Famalicao

vs
0.52

Farense

Markets

BTTS30.4%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.555.8%
Over 2.528.2%
Over 3.511.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
20.3%
0-0
16.4%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
0-2
2.1%
4-0
2.0%
2-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).