Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.2%
Sociedad
21.5%
Draw
15.3%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Sociedad
vs
0.85
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).