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AHT: 01CSV

17 May 2024 · 19:45

Laval

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.9%
Guingamp
22.0%
Draw
20.0%
Laval

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Guingamp

vs
0.88

Laval

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
2-0
11.0%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).