Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.6%
Dresden
21.3%
Draw
24.1%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Dresden
vs
1.51
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS70.8%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.573.2%
Over 3.552.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-2
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
1-0
4.4%
4-1
3.9%
2-3
3.4%
0-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).