Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.1%
Bradford
22.4%
Draw
18.5%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Bradford
vs
0.85
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).