Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Accrington
30.0%
Draw
30.3%
Plymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Accrington
vs
0.89
Plymouth
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.531.2%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-0
13.6%
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).