Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.9%
Bari
31.2%
Draw
37.9%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Bari
vs
1.20
Trapani
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.0%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).