Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Ascoli
32.5%
Draw
24.3%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Ascoli
vs
0.83
Ternana
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).