Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Darmstadt
26.3%
Draw
33.3%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Darmstadt
vs
1.43
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS61.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).