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AHT: 00CSV

26 Sept 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.0%
Ebbsfleet
26.1%
Draw
43.9%
Dorking

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Ebbsfleet

vs
1.63

Dorking

Markets

BTTS59.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).