Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.6%
Barrow
27.7%
Draw
43.6%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Barrow
vs
1.25
Accrington
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
3.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).