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AHT: 04CSV

20 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.2%
Oxford City
25.3%
Draw
44.4%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Oxford City

vs
1.71

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS62.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.537.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.4%
0-1
6.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).