Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.9%
Oxford City
25.7%
Draw
39.4%
Dorking
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Oxford City
vs
1.60
Dorking
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
0-2
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).