Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.6%
Peterboro
17.4%
Draw
20.0%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Peterboro
vs
1.31
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS65.8%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.588.0%
Over 2.571.9%
Over 3.551.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
1-1
7.0%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.0%
3-2
4.9%
4-1
4.5%
0-1
3.8%
4-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).