Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.6%
Motherwell
18.3%
Draw
7.1%
St Johnstone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.10
Motherwell
vs
0.49
St Johnstone
Markets
BTTS34.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.5%
1-0
15.3%
3-0
11.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-0
7.9%
4-0
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
5-0
2.5%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).