Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.0%
Dag and Red
20.0%
Draw
68.0%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Dag and Red
vs
2.20
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.7%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.6%
0-4
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
1-4
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
1-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).