Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.1%
Union Berlin
28.2%
Draw
27.8%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Union Berlin
vs
1.10
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).