Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.4%
Paris FC
15.9%
Draw
10.6%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Paris FC
vs
0.70
Niort
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
12.4%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
5.6%
0-0
4.5%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).