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AHT: 02CSV

08 Oct 2023 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.2%
St Truiden
28.0%
Draw
53.7%
St. Gilloise

Expected Goals (xG)

0.74

St Truiden

vs
1.47

St. Gilloise

Markets

BTTS41.0%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.4%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
11.8%
0-0
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
4.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
3.2%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).