Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Ceuta
29.3%
Draw
35.3%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Ceuta
vs
1.08
Burgos
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
11.5%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
3-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).