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AHT: 12CSV

29 Jul 2023 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.6%
Osnabruck
24.4%
Draw
51.0%
Karlsruhe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.27

Osnabruck

vs
1.89

Karlsruhe

Markets

BTTS61.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.6%
0-1
7.1%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).