Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Alcorcon
29.6%
Draw
46.0%
La Coruna
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Alcorcon
vs
1.21
La Coruna
Markets
BTTS38.3%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).