Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Milton Keynes Irish
32.7%
Draw
15.6%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Milton Keynes Irish
vs
0.45
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS23.8%
Over 0.578.9%
Over 1.545.2%
Over 2.520.1%
Over 3.57.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.6%
0-0
21.1%
2-0
12.7%
1-1
10.2%
0-1
10.0%
2-1
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
1-2
2.4%
0-2
2.2%
3-1
2.1%
2-2
1.3%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).