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HHT: 20CSV

23 Dec 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.2%
Dundee United
32.7%
Draw
22.0%
Livingston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Dundee United

vs
0.84

Livingston

Markets

BTTS43.1%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.535.8%
Over 3.516.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.9%
0-0
13.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).