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AHT: 01CSV

19 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.7%
Maidstone
25.0%
Draw
56.3%
Dag and Red

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Maidstone

vs
1.79

Dag and Red

Markets

BTTS51.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).