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13 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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12.3%
Shepshed Dynamo
45.4%
Draw
42.3%
Stamford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.25

Shepshed Dynamo

vs
0.70

Stamford

Markets

BTTS11.0%
Over 0.561.5%
Over 1.524.3%
Over 2.57.1%
Over 3.51.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
38.5%
0-1
27.2%
1-0
10.0%
0-2
9.4%
1-1
6.6%
1-2
2.4%
0-3
2.2%
2-0
1.2%
2-1
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
0-4
0.4%
2-2
0.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).