Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Lens
21.2%
Draw
9.8%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Lens
vs
0.49
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS31.7%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.8%
2-0
16.4%
0-0
10.3%
3-0
9.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
2.2%
4-1
2.1%
2-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).