Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Birmingham
28.9%
Draw
42.9%
Middlesbrough
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Birmingham
vs
1.39
Middlesbrough
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.523.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).